NEWPORT NEWS, Va. (WAVY) — Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has a sizable polling lead over President Donald Trump in Christopher Newport University’s latest survey of likely Virginia voters.
The new poll released Wednesday by CNU’s Wason Center for Civic Leadership shows Biden is up 53%-41%. Only 4% of Virginia voters remain undecided and many have already cast their ballots.
Biden is up big with Black voters (90%-9%) and college-educated voters (60-35%), voting blocks that typically lean toward Democrats. The notable advantages for Biden are a 22 point lead with women (60%-38%), and groups that tend to lean Republican. He’s up 54% to 42% among voters 45 and older and has a slight edge among men, 46-45%.
Non-college-educated voters still have a slight preference for Trump, 48%-46%, CNU found. The Wason Center interviewed 908 registered Virginia voters on cell phones and landlines between October 15-27, and say the margin of error for the survey is 3.4%.
Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton won Virginia by more than 5% in 2016, 49.73% to 44.41% over President Trump. Clinton won the popular vote by more than 2 million voters, 1,981,473 to 1,769,443.
The pandemic is top of mind for a plurality of Virginia voters, with 29% saying COVID-19 is the top issue for whoever gets sworn in in January. The economy (21%) and health care (13%) were the next highest priorities for voters. A Hampton University/AP-NORC poll also recently found that the pandemic is the number one concern for Virginia voters.
“Voters have COVID-19 on their minds as they vote, which is not good news for President Trump,” said Wason Center Academic Director Quentin Kidd.
CNU’s poll for the U.S. Senate race in Virginia found Democrat incumbent Mark Warner is up big on Republican challenger Daniel Gade (57%-37%). Warner was up 7 points in a Wason Center poll conducted in mid-September.
Gade has strong support among Republicans (86%) but Warner has made large gains in both men, older voters, white voters overall and non-college-educated voters, the poll found.
2020 ELECTION COVERAGE
- Two battleground states, Wisconsin and Arizona, certified their presidential election results Monday in favor of Joe Biden, even as President Donald Trump's legal team continued to dispute the results.
- A small number of ballots on Tuesday could decide an extremely short term in Congress as voters in Georgia pick the man who will succeed the civil rights legend John Lewis, if only for a few weeks.
- Gade teased a "major announcement" on social media over the weekend, leading to speculation he might step in to run in the Republican primary against State Senator Amanda Chase and former House Speaker Kirk Cox.
- Arizona officials certified the state's election results on Monday, formalizing Democrat Joe Biden’s narrow victory over Donald Trump even as the Republican president's attorneys continued to make baseless claims of fraud about the state's vote count.
- Arizona officials have certified Joe Biden’s narrow victory over President Donald Trump in the state.
- President Donald Trump said Sunday he was “ashamed” for endorsing the Republican governor of Georgia after he lost in the state to Democrat Joe Biden.
- Wisconsin has finished a recount of its presidential results, confirming Democrat Joe Biden’s victory over President Donald Trump in the key battleground state.
- Wisconsin finished a recount of its presidential results on Sunday, confirming Democrat Joe Biden's victory over President Donald Trump in the key battleground state. Trump vowed to challenge the outcome in court even before the recount concluded.
- President-elect Joe Biden has now surpassed 80 million votes, the most in history, with the final ballots still being counted.
- Milwaukee County completed its recount of presidential ballots Friday, finding only small changes in vote totals for one of the two Wisconsin counties recounting ballots, but President Donald Trump's attorneys appear ready for a legal challenge seeking to toss tens of thousands of ballots.